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Business Outlook Survey—First Quarter of 2023
The BOS indicator has moved down again (Chart 1).1 The decline is broad-based across regions and sectors. It reflects expectations for slower price growth and an easing in capacity pressures from exceptionally high levels, due in part to improved supply conditions. But pressures on prices and capacity—including labour—remain. As they did last quarter, firms expect slower sales growth. Firms participating in the BLP continue to express considerable concern over cost pressures, labour shortages and uncertainties stemming from high interest rates and inflation On average, business sentiment among firms surveyed in ... (full story)
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Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—First Quarter of 2023
Expectations for inflation in the near term have edged down but remain elevated, mirroring actual inflation. The recent similarity between inflation expectations and actual inflation suggests that consumers are paying greater attention to actual inflation. This is particularly true for consumers who give consistent responses when asked in different ways about inflation expectations. Canadians’ concerns about inflation are still high but appear to be easing. Consumers expect monetary policy to continue to be effective and economic growth to slow. One respondent noted in a follow-up interview, “Inflation is a ... (full story)
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Boc survey: overall business outlook survey indicator at -1.1%: over q4; q4 was -0.06%.
— BTBMarkets (@BTBMarkets) April 3, 2023
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Boc consumer survey: expectations for 1-year ahead inflation fell to 6.03% from 7.18% in q4, 2-years ahead inflation expectations drop to 4.27% from 5.14%.
— BTBMarkets (@BTBMarkets) April 3, 2023
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<CAD=>:
— Cable FX Macro (@cablefxmacro) April 3, 2023*Bank of Canada Survey: 79% of Firms Expect 3%-Plus CPI Over Next 2 Years
*BOC Survey: 48% of Firms Expect Sales Volume to Slow Over Next Year
*BOC Survey: Gauge of Business Confidence Declines for 5th Straight Quarter